Yasmine Kabbaj vs Lucia BronzettiPalermo Quarter-final

Palermo · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#271WTA
1445ELO
1413Clay ELO
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLLWWWLW
1 — 2
Sets
Friday, 24 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTRALE · 2nd on
#120WTA
1622ELO
1605Clay ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Kabbaj Y.
3-6 6-2 0-6
Bronzetti L.
Kabbaj Y.
3601
Bronzetti L.
6262

Lucia Bronzetti defeated Yasmine Kabbaj in the quarterfinals of the Palermo tournament on clay, winning 6-3, 2-6, 6-0. Bronzetti hit 2 aces and 1 double fault, winning 59% of her first serves and converting 54% of her break points. She broke Kabbaj's serve 7 times, compared to Kabbaj's 4 breaks.

Around the match

  • It was a very tough match, but compared to other matches I feel I played better. I'm confident for the next matches and happy with the win. The public support was felt, it helped me in difficult moments.

    Bronzetti L.palermoladiesopen.it· 2026-07-24

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
71%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
56%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
45%
Service points won·Even
52%
54%
Return points won·Even
44%
46%
Break points saved·Even
51%
49%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.6
2.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.1
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Kabbaj Y.32%
Bronzetti L.68%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Bronzetti L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
2.6Clay Elo 1413
Surface ELO
7.4+191 Clay Elo edge
2.8Overall Elo 1445
ELO gap
7.2Overall Elo 1622
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.06 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
8.08 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
72
51

Kabbaj Y.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 60 games (7d) · Bronzetti L.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 93 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
29°CPartly cloudy
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 62%

Draw