Andrey Rublev vs Timofey Skatov — Estoril Round of 16
RUS1
Rublev A.
Andrey Rublev faces Timofey Skatov in the Estoril round of 16 on clay. Andrey Rublev holds the paper edge — ranked #14, a roughly 340-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Rublev A. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Andrey Rublev has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 85 vs 31).
- Freshness: Andrey Rublev comes in with 2 days of rest and 99 games in 14d, vs Timofey Skatov's 2 and 139.
- Last match: Timofey Skatov dropped the opening set before beating Jesper De Jong 1–6 6–4 6–3.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 38). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.