Johannus Monday vs Yuta Shimizu — Winnipeg Round of 16
Winnipeg · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#312ATP
1443ELO
1418Hard ELO
24 yrs · 198 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 23 July 2026 ·
hard
STADIUM · 3rd on
JPNALT#393ATP
1446ELO
1417Hard ELO
27 yrs · 163 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWWLW
Monday J.4-6 6-3 6-3
Shimizu Y.
Monday J.
4662
Shimizu Y.
6331
Johannus Monday defeated Yuta Shimizu in the Round of 16 at the Winnipeg hard-court tournament. The match ended with a score of 4-6, 6-3, 6-3 in favor of Monday.
Key context
- Match story: Johannus Monday dropped the opening set before beating Yuta Shimizu 4–6 6–3 6–3.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
67%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
61%
Return points won·Even
35%
37%
Break points saved·Clear edge
71%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.3
4.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.7
2.4
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTCMonday J.55%
Shimizu Y.45%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score6.2
Even matchUmpiry ScoreForm & Matchup
5.0+1 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO5.0Hard Elo 1417
5.0Overall Elo 1443
ELO gap5.0Overall Elo 1446
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
6.77 of last 10 on hard
Surface form6.16 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Slight edge
80
86
Monday J.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d) · Shimizu Y.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 53%