Matteo Martineau vs Gonzalo VillanuevaSegovia Round of 16

Segovia · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#335ATP
1417ELO
1398Hard ELO
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLLWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 23 July 2026 ·
hard
PISTA PEDRO MUÑOZ · 1st on
#320ATP
1361ELO
1244Hard ELO
31 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWWWLWW
Martineau M.
6-3 7-6
Villanueva G.
Martineau M.
6782
Villanueva G.
3660

Matteo Martineau defeated Gonzalo Villanueva in the Round of 16 at the Segovia tournament, winning 6-3, 7-6 on hard courts. Martineau hit 7 aces to Villanueva's 2 and converted 100% of his break points, compared to Villanueva's 50%. Martineau won 2 service breaks to Villanueva's 1.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
57%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
42%
Break points saved·Clear edge
65%
50%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.2
2.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.0
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
9
23
Break points saved·Dominant
86
19
Break points won·Dominant
1
26
Deciding sets·Dominant
3
83
Tiebreaks·Even
13
17

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Martineau M.49%
Villanueva G.51%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.9+155 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.1Hard Elo 1244
5.7Overall Elo 1417
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1360
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.64 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.73 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
76
61

Martineau M.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d) · Villanueva G.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 92 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°CMainly clear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 32%

Draw