Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Otto Virtanen — Tampere Round of 16

Tampere · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
Dimitar Kuzmanov
BULQ
Dimitar Kuzmanov
#387ATP
1431ELO
1394Clay ELO
33 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWWLWL
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 23 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 3rd on
Otto Virtanen
FIN2
Otto Virtanen
#116ATP
1706ELO
1532Clay ELO
$214kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWWWL
Kuzmanov D.
4-6 2-6
Virtanen O.
Kuzmanov D.
420
Virtanen O.
662

Otto Virtanen defeated Dimitar Kuzmanov 6-4, 6-2 in the Round of 16 at the Tampere clay tournament. Virtanen hit 9 aces and committed 2 double faults, while converting 62% of his break points and winning 71% of his first-serve points. Virtanen won 5 service breaks to Kuzmanov's 2.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Kuzmanov D.Virtanen O.
1st serve in·Clear edge
71%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.0
9.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.3
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Kuzmanov D.Virtanen O.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
16
11
Break points saved·Clear edge
61
82
Break points won·Dominant
31
1
Deciding sets·Clear edge
12
29
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
29
10

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Kuzmanov D.30%
Virtanen O.70%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Virtanen O. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kuzmanov D.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Virtanen O.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.3Clay Elo 1394
Surface ELO
6.7+138 Clay Elo edge
1.6Overall Elo 1431
ELO gap
8.4Overall Elo 1706
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
7.37 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
2.93 of last 10 on clay
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Kuzmanov D.Virtanen O.
Freshness·Even
88
90

Kuzmanov D.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Virtanen O.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
17°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 82%

Draw