Mayar Sherif vs Elsa Jacquemot — Hamburg Round of 16
Sherif M.
Mayar Sherif faces Elsa Jacquemot in the Hamburg round of 16 on clay. Mayar Sherif holds the paper edge — ranked #73, a roughly 120-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Sherif M. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Mayar Sherif comes in with 2 days of rest and 193 games in 14d, vs Elsa Jacquemot's 7 and 37.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Elsa Jacquemot has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 33 vs 2).
- Last match: Mayar Sherif dropped the opening set before beating Simona Waltert 5–7 6–4 7–6.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadSherif M.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 82 games (7d) · Jacquemot E.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 14 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.