Alex Chang vs Keisuke Saitoh — M15 Bali Round of 16
M15 Bali · ITF · Round of 16
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 23 July 2026 ·
hard
Chang A.7-5 6-3
Saitoh K.
Chang A.
762
Saitoh K.
530
Alex Chang defeated Keisuke Saitoh 7-5, 6-3 in the Round of 16 at the M15 Bali tournament. Chang hit 8 aces and 1 double fault, while Saitoh hit 2 aces and 2 double faults. Chang converted 44% of his break points and won 72% of his first-serve points en route to the victory.
Key context
- Match story: Alex Chang closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–3.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·
—
56%
1st serve points won·
—
56%
2nd serve points won·
—
48%
Service points won·
—
53%
Return points won·
—
42%
Break points saved·
—
56%
Aces / match·
—
0.5
Double faults / match·
—
4.0
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 04:50 UTCChang A.70%
Saitoh K.30%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Chang A. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
0.81 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather
18°CDrizzle
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 86%