Nuria Brancaccio vs Carlota Martinez CirezW75 Cordenons Quarter-final

W75 Cordenons · ITF · Quarter-final
#189WTA
1494ELO
1486Clay ELO
26 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 23 July 2026 ·
clay
#367WTA
1324ELO
1307Clay ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLLWWL
Brancaccio N.
6-4 6-1
Martinez Cirez C.
Brancaccio N.
662
Martinez Cirez C.
410

Nuria Brancaccio defeated Carlota Martinez Cirez 6-4, 6-1 in the quarterfinals of the W75 Cordenons tournament on clay. Brancaccio converted all 5 of her break points, compared to Martinez Cirez converting 2 of 5. Brancaccio won 70% of her first-serve points to Martinez Cirez's 38%.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-07-06W35 Rome 1SFclayNuria Brancaccio5-7 6-2 6-3
2023-01-22W25 Buenos AiresFclayCarlota Martinez Cirez6-4 5-7 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
74%
72%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
56%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
43%
Service points won·Even
55%
52%
Return points won·Even
45%
49%
Break points saved·Even
54%
51%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.3
0.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.0
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Brancaccio N.68%
Martinez Cirez C.32%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Brancaccio N. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
3.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.2+180 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.8Clay Elo 1307
7.1Overall Elo 1494
ELO gap
2.9Overall Elo 1324
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.35 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.43 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
84

Brancaccio N.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
29°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 37%

Draw