Lucas Andrade Da Silva vs Mateus AlvesM25 Sao Paulo Round of 16

M25 Sao Paulo · ITF · Round of 16
#666ATP
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 23 July 2026 ·
clay
#449ATP
1245ELO
1247Clay ELO
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLLLLWL
Andrade Da Silva L.
6-7 6-3 6-4
Alves M.
Andrade Da Silva L.
66662
Alves M.
78341

Lucas Andrade Da Silva defeated Mateus Alves 6-7, 6-3, 6-4 in the Round of 16 at the M25 Sao Paulo. Da Silva converted 27% of his break points and won 80% of his first serves, while Alves converted 14% of his break points and won 72% of his first serves. Da Silva secured 3 service breaks to Alves' 1.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
59%
1st serve points won·
68%
2nd serve points won·
44%
Service points won·
58%
Return points won·
37%
Break points saved·
63%
Aces / match·
3.9
Double faults / match·
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Andrade Da Silva L.49%
Alves M.51%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.87 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
2.63 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
100

Andrade Da Silva L.: 18 days rest · Alves M.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 59%

Draw