Francesca Mattioli vs Lucciana Perez AlarconW75 Vacaria Round of 16

W75 Vacaria · ITF · Round of 16
#858WTA
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 23 July 2026 ·
clay
#334WTA
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Mattioli F.
3-6 4-6
Perez Alarcon L.
Mattioli F.
340
Perez Alarcon L.
662

Lucciana Perez Alarcon defeated Francesca Mattioli 6-3, 6-4 in the Round of 16 at the W75 Vacaria clay court tournament. Perez Alarcon hit 2 double faults and converted 57% of her break points, while Mattioli made 15 double faults and converted 56%. Perez Alarcon won 8 service breaks to Mattioli's 5.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
59%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
44%
37%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
51%
Return points won·Even
51%
49%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
47%
Aces / match·Even
1.4
1.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.8
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (9 vs 7). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Mattioli F.29%
Perez Alarcon L.71%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Perez Alarcon L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.85 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.97 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
9.06-match win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
16°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 58%

Draw