Daniel Rincon vs Thiago Seyboth WildZug Round of 16

Zug · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#206ATP
1522ELO
1469Clay ELO
23 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWLWWWL
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 22 July 2026 ·
clay
REDCOMET ARENA · 3rd on
#276ATP
1532ELO
1516Clay ELO
26 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWWWWWW
Rincon D.
6-7 6-4 3-6
Seyboth Wild T.
Rincon D.
68631
Seyboth Wild T.
710462

Thiago Seyboth Wild defeated Daniel Rincon in the Round of 16 at the Zug tournament on clay, winning 7-6, 4-6, 6-3. Seyboth Wild and Rincon were evenly matched in service breaks, each securing three breaks, and also had identical numbers of double faults and service breaks. Seyboth Wild hit 12 aces to Rincon's 7 and converted all of his break points, compared to Rincon's 38%.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
56%
64%
Return points won·Even
41%
38%
Break points saved·Clear edge
53%
67%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.8
3.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.9
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (15 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
41
16
Break points saved·Dominant
50
87
Break points won·Clear edge
34
18
Deciding sets·Dominant
93
33
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
16
2

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Rincon D.31%
Seyboth Wild T.69%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Seyboth Wild T. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Clay Elo 1469
Surface ELO
5.6+47 Clay Elo edge
4.9Overall Elo 1522
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1532
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
7.17 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.58 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
70
74

Rincon D.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 36 games (7d) · Seyboth Wild T.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 77 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°CMainly clear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 24%

Draw