Jennifer Ruggeri vs Lola RadivojevicPalermo Round of 16

Palermo · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#221WTA
1577ELO
1554Clay ELO
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 22 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTRALE · 1st on
#154WTA
1555ELO
1544Clay ELO
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWLLWLW
Ruggeri J.
7-5 4-6 6-4
Radivojevic L.
Ruggeri J.
7462
Radivojevic L.
5641

Jennifer Ruggeri defeated Lola Radivojevic 7-5, 4-6, 6-4 in the Round of 16 at the Palermo tournament on clay. Ruggeri and Radivojevic were even in aces, 6-6, but Ruggeri converted 45% of her break points to Radivojevic's 40%. Ruggeri won 5 service breaks to Radivojevic's 4.

Around the match

  • I had played Radivojevic three years ago and won only one game. This time, though, I prepared the match well. The goal was to give myself an early birthday present and I succeeded.

    Ruggeri J.palermoladiesopen.it· 2026-07-22
  • I'm working a lot on myself, both personally and on my identity. I've dedicated a lot of time to the mental aspect too, because this sport is above all a matter of the mind. I think I still have plenty of room for improvement.

    Ruggeri J.palermoladiesopen.it· 2026-07-22

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-01-31W35 Sharm ElSheikh 1R32hardLola Radivojevic6-2 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
60%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
46%
Service points won·Even
56%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
49%
43%
Break points saved·Even
55%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.0
5.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.3
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Ruggeri J.58%
Radivojevic L.42%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Ruggeri J. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.1+10 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Clay Elo 1544
5.3Overall Elo 1577
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1555
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.67 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.96 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
61
75

Ruggeri J.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 87 games (7d) · Radivojevic L.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
35°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 37%

Draw