Mathieu Scaglia vs Nicholas GodsickM15 Rognac Round of 16

M15 Rognac · ITF · Round of 16
#1041ATP
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 22 July 2026 ·
hard
#1349ATP
21 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLLWL
Scaglia M.
6-3 4-6 6-2
Godsick N.
Scaglia M.
6462
Godsick N.
3621

Mathieu Scaglia defeated Nicholas Godsick in the Round of 16 at the M15 Rognac. Scaglia won 6-3, 4-6, 6-2. He hit 3 aces and 1 double fault, while Godsick hit 2 aces and 7 double faults.

Key context

  • Match story: Mathieu Scaglia closed it out in three sets, 6–3 4–6 6–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
54%
68%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
80%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
59%
Return points won·Even
39%
42%
Break points saved·Dominant
76%
30%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.0
2.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.5
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (2 vs 2). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Scaglia M.56%
Godsick N.44%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
2.72 of last 7 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
34°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 18%

Draw