Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Jurij Rodionov — Kitzbuhel Round of 16
Etcheverry T.
Tomas Martin Etcheverry faces Jurij Rodionov in the Kitzbuhel round of 16 on clay. Tomas Martin Etcheverry is the paper favourite — ranked #30, a roughly 180-point clay Elo advantage — but Jurij Rodionov arrives in form, winning 3 of their last 5 on clay to Tomas Martin Etcheverry's 1.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Etcheverry T. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Tomas Martin Etcheverry comes in with 5 days of rest and 22 games in 14d, vs Jurij Rodionov's 1 and 71.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Tomas Martin Etcheverry has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 45 vs 1).
- Last match: Jurij Rodionov dropped just 6 games past Joel Schwaerzler.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadEtcheverry T.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Rodionov J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 71 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.