Francesca Curmi vs Katerina TsygourovaW75 Cordenons Round of 16

W75 Cordenons · ITF · Round of 16
#236WTA
1580ELO
1567Clay ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 22 July 2026 ·
clay
#392WTA
1207ELO
1186Clay ELO
26 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWLWW
Curmi F.
5-7 6-3 6-2
Tsygourova K.
Curmi F.
5662
Tsygourova K.
7321

Francesca Curmi defeated Katerina Tsygourova in the Round of 16 at the W75 Cordenons clay court tournament. The match ended with a score of 5-7, 6-3, 6-2 in favor of Curmi. Curmi converted 57% of her break points and secured 8 service breaks, compared to Tsygourova's 5 service breaks and 50% break point conversion.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
77%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
56%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
48%
Service points won·Even
53%
56%
Return points won·Even
50%
49%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
47%
Aces / match·Even
0.3
0.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.4
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 41). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:52 UTC
Curmi F.70%
Tsygourova K.30%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Curmi F. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
9.8+381 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.2Clay Elo 1186
9.7Overall Elo 1580
ELO gap
0.3Overall Elo 1207
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.97 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
8.68 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
27°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 33%

Draw