Alina Charaeva vs Sinja KrausHamburg Round of 16

Hamburg · WTA · Round of 16
#117WTA
1694ELO
1652Clay ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLWWLWWW
Sets
Wednesday, 22 July 2026 ·
clay
M1 · 3rd on
#80WTA
1736ELO
1696Clay ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWWWLWWL
Charaeva A.
vs
Kraus S.

Alina Charaeva faces Sinja Kraus in the Hamburg round of 16 on clay. Sinja Kraus holds the paper edge — ranked #80, a roughly 40-point clay Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Charaeva A.43%
Kraus S.57%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.4Clay Elo 1652
Surface ELO
5.6+45 Clay Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1694
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1736
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.57 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
8.68 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
9.06-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

32 vs 34 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
45%
Service points won·Even
59%
56%
Return points won·Even
43%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.5
1.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.2
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Charaeva A.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Kraus S.

Kraus S.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Charaeva A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
56
56
Break points saved·Dominant
75
43
Break points won·Clear edge
85
97
Deciding sets·Clear edge
69
90
Tiebreaks·Even
33
31

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
92
62

Charaeva A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Kraus S.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 95 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather forecast
18°COvercast
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 74%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw