Kilian Feldbausch vs Ignacio Buse — Kitzbuhel Round of 16
PER5
Feldbausch K.
Kilian Feldbausch faces Ignacio Buse in the Kitzbuhel round of 16 on clay. Ignacio Buse is the paper favourite — ranked #35, a roughly 190-point clay Elo advantage — but Kilian Feldbausch arrives in form, winning 3 of their last 4 on clay to Ignacio Buse's 2.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Buse I. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Surface form: Kilian Feldbausch 3 of 4, Ignacio Buse 2 of 4 on clay recently — Kilian Feldbausch the sharper of late.
- Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.
- Win streak: Kilian Feldbausch arrives on a 3-match winning run.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFeldbausch K.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 34 games (7d) · Buse I.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 52 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.