Nuria Brancaccio vs Martina ColmegnaW75 Cordenons Round of 16

W75 Cordenons · ITF · Round of 16
#189WTA
1494ELO
1486Clay ELO
26 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 22 July 2026 ·
clay
#348WTA
1277ELO
1266Clay ELO
29 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLLLLWW
Brancaccio N.
6-2 6-2
Colmegna M.
Brancaccio N.
662
Colmegna M.
220

Nuria Brancaccio defeated Martina Colmegna 6-2, 6-2 in the Round of 16 at the W75 Cordenons clay court tournament. Brancaccio did not hit an ace but converted 80% of her break points, securing four service breaks in the match. Colmegna hit one ace and did not convert any of her break points.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-03-30W25 SopoR16clayNuria Brancaccio4-6 6-2 6-4
2022-10-11W25 Santa Margherita di PulaR32clayMartina Colmegna1-6 7-5 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
74%
74%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
47%
Service points won·Even
55%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
54%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.3
0.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.0
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Brancaccio N.56%
Colmegna M.44%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.8+220 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.2Clay Elo 1266
7.7Overall Elo 1494
ELO gap
2.3Overall Elo 1277
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.35 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.85 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
84
95

Brancaccio N.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d) · Colmegna M.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
29°CPartly cloudy
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 30%

Draw