Hynek Barton vs Gilles Arnaud BaillyTampere Round of 16

Tampere · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#268ATP
1570ELO
1535Clay ELO
22 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 22 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 1 · 2nd on
#230ATP
1476ELO
1438Clay ELO
20 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWLL
Barton H.
6-3 6-2
Arnaud Bailly G.
Barton H.
662
Arnaud Bailly G.
320

Hynek Barton defeated Gilles Arnaud Bailly 6-3, 6-2 in the Round of 16 at the Tampere clay court tournament. Barton served four aces and did not commit a double fault, while his first-serve win percentage was 82%. He converted 44% of his break points and won four service breaks to advance.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
59%
Return points won·Even
39%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.1
1.6
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Barton H.73%
Arnaud Bailly G.27%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Barton H. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.2+96 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Clay Elo 1438
6.2Overall Elo 1570
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1476
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.76 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.53 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
83
82

Barton H.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Arnaud Bailly G.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 27 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 47%

Draw