Fiona Ferro vs Erika Andreeva — Palermo Round of 16

Palermo · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
Fiona Ferro
FRA7
Fiona Ferro
#191WTA
1662ELO
1605Clay ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLLWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 22 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTRALE · 3rd on
RUS
Erika Andreeva
#215WTA
1553ELO
1503Clay ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLLWLWL
Ferro F.
6-4 6-3
Andreeva E.
Ferro F.
662
Andreeva E.
430

Fiona Ferro defeated Erika Andreeva 6-4, 6-3 in the Round of 16 at the Palermo tournament on clay. Ferro converted 62% of her break points and made 5 service breaks to Andreeva's 3. Ferro also had a higher first-serve win percentage, at 63%, compared to Andreeva's 43%.

Around the match

  • “I'm happy to be back in Palermo. I'd like to win here for the second time, but I want to focus only on the next match.”

    Ferro F.palermoladiesopen.it ↗· 2026-07-22

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

  • Match story: Fiona Ferro closed it out in two sets, 6–4 6–3.

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-05-20StrasbourgR32clayFiona Ferro6-2 6-2

Statistics

This season
Ferro F.Andreeva E.
1st serve in·Even
65%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
47%
Service points won·Even
56%
56%
Return points won·Even
47%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
50%
Aces / match·Even
1.6
2.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.0
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Ferro F.Andreeva E.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
7
65
Break points saved·Dominant
2
56
Break points won·Clear edge
72
86
Deciding sets·Dominant
4
77
Tiebreaks·
—
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Ferro F.52%
Andreeva E.48%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Ferro F.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Andreeva E.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.3+102 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.7Clay Elo 1503
6.4Overall Elo 1662
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1553
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
5.56 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.45 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Ferro F.Andreeva E.
Freshness·Clear edge
69
82

Ferro F.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 67 games (7d) · Andreeva E.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 59%

Draw