Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava vs Mateus AlvesM25 Sao Paulo Round of 32

M25 Sao Paulo · ITF · Round of 32
#1763ATP
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
L
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 22 July 2026 ·
clay
#449ATP
1245ELO
1247Clay ELO
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLLWLL
Lorenzo Santos Gava K.
3-6 6-7
Alves M.
Lorenzo Santos Gava K.
3640
Alves M.
6772

Mateus Alves defeated Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava in the Round of 32 at the M25 Sao Paulo tournament on clay, winning 6-3, 7-6. Alves hit 7 aces and converted all of his break points, while Gava had 1 ace and converted 50% of his break points. Alves secured 2 service breaks to Gava's 1 en route to the victory.

Key context

  • Match story: Mateus Alves closed it out in two sets, 6–3 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
59%
1st serve points won·
69%
2nd serve points won·
43%
Service points won·
58%
Return points won·
37%
Break points saved·
62%
Aces / match·
3.6
Double faults / match·
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Lorenzo Santos Gava K.32%
Alves M.68%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Alves M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
2.63 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
94

Alves M.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
24°CMainly clear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 42%

Draw