Alex Molcan vs Daniel Altmaier — Kitzbuhel Round of 16
SVK
Molcan A.
Alex Molcan faces Daniel Altmaier in the Kitzbuhel round of 16 on clay. Alex Molcan holds the paper edge — leading the head-to-head 2–0, a roughly 20-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Alex Molcan comes in with 4 days of rest and 100 games in 14d, vs Daniel Altmaier's 6 and 40.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Alex Molcan has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 79 vs 9).
- Last match: Daniel Altmaier dropped just 5 games past Raphael Collignon.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadMolcan A.: 4 days rest · 4 matches, 100 games (7d) · Altmaier D.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 40 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
2–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | Wimbledon | R128 | grass | Alex Molcan | 6-4 3-6 7-5 6-2 |
| 2026-04-13 | Munich | R16 | clay | Alex Molcan | 6-4 7-6 |