Anna Bondar vs Noma Noha Akugue — Hamburg Round of 16
Bondar A.
Anna Bondar faces Noma Noha Akugue in the Hamburg round of 16 on clay. Anna Bondar is the paper favourite — ranked #97, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 180-point clay Elo advantage — but Noma Noha Akugue arrives in form, winning 3 of their last 5 on clay to Anna Bondar's 2.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Bondar A. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: Noma Noha Akugue has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 57 vs Anna Bondar's 0).
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Anna Bondar 82 games in 14 days, Noma Noha Akugue 64.
- Last match: Anna Bondar edged Maiko Uchijima in two tight sets (7–5 6–4).
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadBondar A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 60 games (7d) · Noha Akugue N.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-14 | Hamburg | R32 | clay | Anna Bondar | 6-4 3-6 7-6 |