Simona Waltert vs Mayar SherifHamburg Round of 32

Hamburg · WTA · Round of 32
#81WTA
1670ELO
1654Clay ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWWWLLLL
Sets
Tuesday, 21 July 2026 ·
clay
#97WTA
1685ELO
1663Clay ELO
30 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWWWWWWL
Waltert S.
vs
Sherif M.

Simona Waltert faces Mayar Sherif in the Hamburg round of 32 on clay. Mayar Sherif holds the paper edge — leading the head-to-head 1–0.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 03:50 UTC
Waltert S.51%
Sherif M.49%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Freshness: Simona Waltert comes in with 5 days of rest and 107 games in 14d, vs Mayar Sherif's 1 and 197.
  • Under pressure: In the tight moments, Simona Waltert has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 78 vs 7).
  • Win streak: Mayar Sherif arrives on a 9-match winning run.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.9Clay Elo 1654
Surface ELO
5.1+8 Clay Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1670
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1685
2.2Trails 0–2 on clay
H2H
7.8Leads 2–0 on clay
5.66 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
10.010 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
10.09-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

28 vs 22 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
63%
78%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
58%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
47%
Service points won·Even
56%
56%
Return points won·Even
46%
46%
Break points saved·Even
58%
54%
Aces / match·Even
1.4
0.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.8
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Waltert S.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Sherif M.

Sherif M.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Waltert S.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
78
7
Break points saved·Dominant
79
21
Break points won·Dominant
94
16
Deciding sets·Dominant
80
3
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
85
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
82
49

Waltert S.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Sherif M.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 116 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather forecast
18°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 61%

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-09-26ParmaR16clayMayar Sherif6-3 7-6

Draw