Dominic Stricker vs Francesco PassaroZug Round of 32

Zug · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#357ATP
1533ELO
1474Clay ELO
23 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 21 July 2026 ·
clay
REDCOMET ARENA · 4th on
#200ATP
1592ELO
1578Clay ELO
$91kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWLL
Stricker D.
6-7 6-1 7-6
Passaro F.
Stricker D.
656772
Passaro F.
771641

Dominic Stricker defeated Francesco Passaro in the Round of 32 at the Zug tournament on clay. The match ended with a score of 6-7, 6-1, 7-6 in favor of Stricker. Stricker hit 6 aces and committed 3 double faults, while Passaro hit 10 aces and 7 double faults; Stricker won 4 service breaks to Passaro's 2.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
51%
Service points won·Even
66%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.8
6.1
Double faults / match·Even
1.6
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (15 vs 13). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
58
57
Break points saved·Even
92
89
Break points won·Even
9
11
Deciding sets·Slight edge
86
81
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
74
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Stricker D.36%
Passaro F.64%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Passaro F. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.7Clay Elo 1474
Surface ELO
6.3+104 Clay Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1533
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1592
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.36 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.14 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
54
67

Stricker D.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 93 games (7d) · Passaro F.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
21°CMainly clear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 40%

Draw