Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Nastasja Schunk — Hamburg Round of 32
Oliynykova O.
Oleksandra Oliynykova faces Nastasja Schunk in the Hamburg round of 32 on clay. Oleksandra Oliynykova is the paper favourite — ranked #52, a roughly 350-point clay Elo advantage — but Nastasja Schunk arrives in form, winning 6 of their last 8 on clay to Oleksandra Oliynykova's 5.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 03:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Oliynykova O. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Surface form: Oleksandra Oliynykova 5 of 8, Nastasja Schunk 6 of 8 on clay recently — Nastasja Schunk the sharper of late.
- Fatigue load: Nastasja Schunk carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
- Win streak: Nastasja Schunk arrives on a 3-match winning run.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadOliynykova O.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 79 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.