Hayato Matsuoka vs Daniel Milavsky | Hayato Matsuoka Wins 6-2 6-4

Winnipeg · CHALLENGER · Round of 32

JPNALT

Hayato Matsuoka

#255ATP

1361ELO

1332Hard ELO

21 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LLWWWWWLWL

2 — 0

Sets

Wednesday, 22 July 2026 · 17:00

hard

USAQ

Daniel Milavsky

#322ATP

1349ELO

1337Hard ELO

24 yrs

Last 10 · pre-match

LLWWWLWWWW

Matsuoka H.

6-2 6-4

Milavsky D.

Matsuoka H.

662

Milavsky D.

240

Hayato Matsuoka defeated Daniel Milavsky in the Round of 32 at the Winnipeg hard-court tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-2, 6-4 in Matsuoka's favor.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Match story: Hayato Matsuoka dropped just 6 games past Daniel Milavsky.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season

Matsuoka H.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Milavsky D.

Milavsky D.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Matsuoka H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season

Matsuoka H.Milavsky D.

1st serve in·Slight edge

66%

61%

1st serve points won·Slight edge

69%

76%

2nd serve points won·Even

52%

50%

Service points won·Even

63%

66%

Return points won·Slight edge

40%

35%

Break points saved·Clear edge

56%

76%

Aces / match·Dominant

3.7

8.3

Double faults / match·Slight edge

3.2

3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC

Matsuoka H.55%

Milavsky D.45%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Matsuoka H.

5.6

Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score

Milavsky D.

5.2

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

4.9Hard Elo 1332

Surface ELO

5.1+5 Hard Elo edge

5.2Overall Elo 1361

ELO gap

4.8Overall Elo 1348

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

3.94 of last 10 on hard

Surface form

6.16 of last 10 on hard

0.0

Win streak

Fatigue & Travel

3-set count

4.02 three-setters in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load

Matsuoka H.Milavsky D.

Freshness·Dominant

100

Matsuoka H.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d) · Milavsky D.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed

Mediumbalanced pace

SlowFast

Weather

21°CClear

Wind 13 km/hHumidity 53%

Hayato Matsuoka vs Daniel Milavsky — Winnipeg Round of 32

Key context

Head to head

Serve vs return

Statistics

Win Probability

Umpiry Score

Freshness

Conditions

Draw

Serve vs return