Darja Semenistaja vs Sinja KrausHamburg Round of 32

Hamburg · WTA · Round of 32
#103WTA
1654ELO
1636Clay ELO
23 yrs · 169 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LLLLWWLWLW
Sets
Tuesday, 21 July 2026 ·
clay
#94WTA
1736ELO
1696Clay ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWWLWWLL
Semenistaja D.
vs
Kraus S.

Darja Semenistaja faces Sinja Kraus in the Hamburg round of 32 on clay. Sinja Kraus holds the paper edge — ranked #94, a roughly 60-point clay Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 03:50 UTC
Semenistaja D.41%
Kraus S.59%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Kraus S. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.2Clay Elo 1636
Surface ELO
5.8+60 Clay Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1654
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1736
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
4.86 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
8.48 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

32 vs 34 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
59%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
45%
Service points won·Even
54%
56%
Return points won·Even
46%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
48%
55%
Aces / match·Even
1.4
1.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.0
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Semenistaja D.serving55% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Kraus S.

Kraus S.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Semenistaja D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
76
56
Break points saved·Slight edge
52
43
Break points won·Even
96
97
Deciding sets·Even
94
90
Tiebreaks·Dominant
98
31

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
88
58

Semenistaja D.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 24 games (7d) · Kraus S.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 79 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather forecast
18°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 61%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw