Stefan Kozlov vs Alan MagadanBloomfield Hills Round of 32

Bloomfield Hills · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#296ATP
1429ELO
1408Hard ELO
28 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLLW
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 21 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 3 · 2nd on
#650ATP
1274ELO
1275Hard ELO
25 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWWL
Kozlov S.
6-3 1-6 6-7
Magadan A.
Kozlov S.
61641
Magadan A.
36772

Alan Magadan defeated Stefan Kozlov in the Round of 32 of the Bloomfield Hills hard-court tournament. Magadan won 3-6, 6-1, 7-6, with a stronger serve that included 8 aces to Kozlov's 3 and more double faults, 7 to 3. Magadan converted 38% of break points and broke Kozlov's serve 5 times, compared to Kozlov's 4 service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
54%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
47%
Service points won·Even
60%
58%
Return points won·Even
41%
38%
Break points saved·Even
56%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.8
4.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.9
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 11). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Kozlov S.73%
Magadan A.27%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Kozlov S. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.7+133 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.3Hard Elo 1275
6.9Overall Elo 1429
ELO gap
3.1Overall Elo 1274
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
3.94 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.93 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
51
53

Kozlov S.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 74 games (7d) · Magadan A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 77 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 57%

Draw