Tamara Zidansek vs Alevtina IbragimovaPalermo Round of 32

Palermo · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#134WTA
1655ELO
1639Clay ELO
28 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLLW
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 21 July 2026 ·
clay
CAMPO 2 · 2nd on
#236WTA
1508ELO
1472Clay ELO
21 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLLW
Zidansek T.
6-3 4-6 3-6
Ibragimova A.
Zidansek T.
6431
Ibragimova A.
3662

Alevtina Ibragimova defeated Tamara Zidansek in the Round of 32 at the Palermo tournament on clay, 3-6, 6-4, 6-3. Ibragimova served 1 ace and committed 3 double faults, while Zidansek had 3 aces and 3 double faults. Ibragimova won 67% of her first serves and converted 43% of her break points, while Zidansek won 47% of her first serves and converted 56% of her break points; Ibragimova secured 6 service breaks to Zidansek's 5.

Around the match

  • Ibragimova pulled off a major upset, eliminating seeded Zidansek in a comeback win on her tournament debut.

    Ibragimova A.palermoladiesopen.it· 2026-07-22

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
70%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
58%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
44%
Service points won·Even
56%
54%
Return points won·Even
47%
47%
Break points saved·Even
52%
56%
Aces / match·Even
1.1
1.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.4
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Zidansek T.88%
Ibragimova A.12%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Zidansek T. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.1+167 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.9Clay Elo 1472
6.8Overall Elo 1655
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1508
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.25 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.06 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
71
51

Zidansek T.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d) · Ibragimova A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 95 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
33°CClear
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 45%

Draw