Caroline Uebelhoer vs Mina Hodzic β€” Palermo Round of 32

Palermo Β· CHALLENGER Β· Round of 32
#286WTA
1432ELO
1415Clay ELO
30 yrs
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LWWWLLWLLW
1 β€” 2
Sets
Tuesday, 21 July 2026 Β·
clay
CAMPO 2 Β· 1st on
#275WTA
1382ELO
1347Clay ELO
24 yrs Β· Right-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
Uebelhoer C.
4-6 6-4 2-6
Hodzic M.
Uebelhoer C.
4621
Hodzic M.
6462

Mina Hodzic defeated Caroline Uebelhoer in the Round of 32 at the Palermo tournament on clay, winning 6-4, 4-6, 6-2. Hodzic served 3 aces and committed 2 double faults, while Uebelhoer had 2 aces and 4 double faults. Hodzic won 5 service breaks to Uebelhoer's 3.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

  • Match story: Mina Hodzic closed it out in three sets, 6–4 4–6 6–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve inΒ·Slight edge
67%
61%
1st serve points wonΒ·Slight edge
59%
65%
2nd serve points wonΒ·Even
48%
45%
Service points wonΒ·Even
55%
57%
Return points wonΒ·Even
46%
44%
Break points savedΒ·Even
53%
57%
Aces / matchΒ·Slight edge
1.8
2.9
Double faults / matchΒ·Clear edge
2.3
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 15:50 UTC
Uebelhoer C.74%
Hodzic M.26%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite Β· Uebelhoer C. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model Β· 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.8+68 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Clay Elo 1347
5.6Overall Elo 1432
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1382
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.86 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.94 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
FreshnessΒ·Clear edge
100
80

Uebelhoer C.: 18 days rest Β· Hodzic M.: 2 days rest Β· 1 match, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
35Β°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 32%

Draw