Caroline Uebelhoer vs Mina HodzicPalermo Round of 32

Palermo · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#258WTA
1432ELO
1415Clay ELO
30 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWWWW
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 21 July 2026 ·
clay
CAMPO 2 · 1st on
#320WTA
1382ELO
1347Clay ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLLW
Uebelhoer C.
4-6 6-4 2-6
Hodzic M.
Uebelhoer C.
4621
Hodzic M.
6462

Mina Hodzic defeated Caroline Uebelhoer in the Round of 32 at the Palermo tournament on clay, winning 6-4, 4-6, 6-2. Hodzic served 3 aces and committed 2 double faults, while Uebelhoer had 2 aces and 4 double faults. Hodzic won 5 service breaks to Uebelhoer's 3.

Key context

  • Match story: Mina Hodzic closed it out in three sets, 6–4 4–6 6–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
58%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
42%
Service points won·Even
55%
56%
Return points won·Slight edge
46%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.8
3.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.0
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Uebelhoer C.74%
Hodzic M.26%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Uebelhoer C. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.8+68 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Clay Elo 1347
5.6Overall Elo 1432
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1382
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.86 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.94 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
87
61

Uebelhoer C.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d) · Hodzic M.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 93 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
35°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 32%

Draw