Alastair Gray vs Akira SantillanSegovia Round of 32

Segovia · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#265ATP
1390ELO
1370Hard ELO
28 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLLLWW
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 21 July 2026 ·
hard
PISTA 2 · 1st on
#293ATP
1367ELO
1343Hard ELO
29 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLLL
Gray A.
6-2 2-6 3-6
Santillan A.
Gray A.
6231
Santillan A.
2662

Akira Santillan defeated Alastair Gray in the Round of 32 of the Segovia hard-court tournament, 2-6, 6-2, 6-3. Santillan hit 10 aces and converted 75 percent of his break points, while Gray converted 40 percent of his break points. Santillan won 3 service breaks to Gray's 2.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
50%
Service points won·Even
65%
63%
Return points won·Even
37%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
67%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.7
5.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.8
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
15
0
Break points saved·Dominant
85
32
Break points won·Clear edge
2
16
Deciding sets·Even
13
14
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
20
11

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Gray A.55%
Santillan A.45%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.3+28 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Hard Elo 1342
5.3Overall Elo 1390
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1367
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.86 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.73 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
89
70

Gray A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Santillan A.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 62 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 27%

Draw