Xinyu Gao vs Lilli TaggerLivesport Prague Open Round of 32

Livesport Prague Open · WTA · Round of 32
#239WTA
1504ELO
1492Hard ELO
28 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWLWWWLL
Sets
Tuesday, 21 July 2026 ·
hard
#84WTA
1684ELO
1687Hard ELO
18 yrs · 185 cm
Last 10
LWWLLLLWLW
Gao X.
vs
Tagger L.

Xinyu Gao faces Lilli Tagger in the Livesport Prague Open round of 32 on hard. Lilli Tagger holds the paper edge — ranked #84, a roughly 200-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 03:50 UTC
Gao X.19%
Tagger L.81%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Tagger L. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.6Hard Elo 1492
Surface ELO
7.4+195 Hard Elo edge
2.7Overall Elo 1504
ELO gap
7.3Overall Elo 1684
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
6.36 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.06 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

22 vs 30 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
60%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
48%
Service points won·Even
57%
61%
Return points won·Even
45%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
50%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.5
4.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.4
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Gao X.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Tagger L.

Tagger L.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Gao X.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
68
86

Gao X.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 72 games (7d) · Tagger L.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 45 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw