Yu Hsiou Hsu vs Jay Dylan Hara Friend — Winnipeg Round of 32

Winnipeg · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Yu Hsiou Hsu
TPE7
Yu Hsiou Hsu
#210ATP
1489ELO
1468Hard ELO
27 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 21 July 2026 ·
hard
STADIUM · 2nd on
JPN
Jay Dylan Hara Friend
#380ATP
1503ELO
1480Hard ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWWW
Hsiou Hsu Y.
6-3 6-4
Dylan Hara Friend J.
Hsiou Hsu Y.
662
Dylan Hara Friend J.
340

Yu Hsiou Hsu defeated Jay Dylan Hara Friend in the Round of 32 of the Winnipeg hard-court tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-3, 6-4 in favor of Hsu.

Key context

  • Match story: Yu Hsiou Hsu closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Hsiou Hsu Y.Dylan Hara Friend J.
1st serve in·Even
64%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
47%
Service points won·Even
59%
63%
Return points won·Even
41%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
52%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.1
5.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.9
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 7). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Hsiou Hsu Y.34%
Dylan Hara Friend J.66%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Dylan Hara Friend J. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Hsiou Hsu Y.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Dylan Hara Friend J.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.9Hard Elo 1468
Surface ELO
5.1+12 Hard Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1488
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1503
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.45 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.56 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Hsiou Hsu Y.Dylan Hara Friend J.
Freshness·Clear edge
76
90

Hsiou Hsu Y.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 59 games (7d) · Dylan Hara Friend J.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
20°CMainly clear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 59%

Draw