Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Kilian FeldbauschKitzbuhel Round of 32

Kitzbuhel · ATP · Round of 32
#71ATP
1740ELO
1708Clay ELO
$407kYTD
$665kCAREER
22 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWLWLLLW
Sets
Tuesday, 21 July 2026 ·
clay
GRANDSTAND · 3rd on
#262ATP
1618ELO
1599Clay ELO
20 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLLWWWWLW
Vallejo A.
vs
Feldbausch K.

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo faces Kilian Feldbausch in the Kitzbuhel round of 32 on clay. Adolfo Daniel Vallejo is the paper favourite — ranked #71, a roughly 110-point clay Elo advantage — but Kilian Feldbausch arrives in form, winning 6 of their last 8 on clay to Adolfo Daniel Vallejo's 5.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Vallejo A.69%
Feldbausch K.31%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Vallejo A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.4+109 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Clay Elo 1599
6.5Overall Elo 1740
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1618
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
6.06 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.07 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

41 vs 23 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
73%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
48%
Service points won·Even
62%
58%
Return points won·Even
45%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
51%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.1
0.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (41 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Vallejo A.serving53% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Feldbausch K.

Feldbausch K.serving50% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Vallejo A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
53
44
Break points saved·Dominant
71
27
Break points won·Even
65
64
Deciding sets·Slight edge
85
77
Tiebreaks·
0

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
57
75

Vallejo A.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 103 games (7d) · Feldbausch K.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 57 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
20°COvercast
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 53%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw