Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Facundo MenaSegovia Round of 32

Segovia · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#369ATP
1303ELO
1237Hard ELO
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 21 July 2026 ·
hard
PISTA PEDRO MUÑOZ · 4th on
#332ATP
1427ELO
1355Hard ELO
33 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLL
Marrero Curbelo I.
6-4 6-3
Mena F.
Marrero Curbelo I.
662
Mena F.
430

Ivan Marrero Curbelo defeated Facundo Mena in the Round of 32 of the Segovia tournament, winning 6-4, 6-3 on hard courts. Marrero Curbelo did not hit an ace but converted 18% of break points and won 83% of first-serve points. Mena hit 9 aces but did not convert any break points.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Even
59%
63%
Return points won·Even
43%
39%
Break points saved·Even
58%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
0.9
7.1
Double faults / match·Even
3.3
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Marrero Curbelo I.22%
Mena F.78%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Mena F. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.5Hard Elo 1237
Surface ELO
6.5+117 Hard Elo edge
3.4Overall Elo 1302
ELO gap
6.6Overall Elo 1427
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.36 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.75 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
64
82

Marrero Curbelo I.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 67 games (7d) · Mena F.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
35°CPartly cloudy
Wind 22 km/hHumidity 7%

Draw