Miriam Bianca Bulgaru vs Caijsa Wilda HennemannPalermo Round of 32

Palermo · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#246WTA
1366ELO
1330Clay ELO
27 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 21 July 2026 ·
clay
CAMPO 6 · 3rd on
#257WTA
1509ELO
1479Clay ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWWWW
Bianca Bulgaru M.
3-6 6-1 6-2
Wilda Hennemann C.
Bianca Bulgaru M.
3662
Wilda Hennemann C.
6121

Miriam Bianca Bulgaru defeated Caijsa Wilda Hennemann in the Round of 32 at the Palermo tournament on clay, coming back from a set down to win 3-6, 6-1, 6-2. Bulgaru converted 55% of her break points, compared to 27% for Hennemann, and won six service breaks to Hennemann's three. Bulgaru hit four double faults to Hennemann's two.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
72%
1st serve points won·Even
54%
55%
2nd serve points won·Even
41%
45%
Service points won·Even
49%
52%
Return points won·Slight edge
44%
50%
Break points saved·Slight edge
38%
49%
Aces / match·Even
0.9
0.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.9
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Bianca Bulgaru M.20%
Wilda Hennemann C.80%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Wilda Hennemann C. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.1Clay Elo 1330
Surface ELO
6.9+149 Clay Elo edge
3.2Overall Elo 1366
ELO gap
6.8Overall Elo 1509
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.32 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.25 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
81
88

Bianca Bulgaru M.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d) · Wilda Hennemann C.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 24 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
33°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 45%

Draw