Tessa Johanna Brockmann vs Elsa Jacquemot — Hamburg Round of 32
Johanna Brockmann T.
Tessa Johanna Brockmann faces Elsa Jacquemot in the Hamburg round of 32 on clay. Elsa Jacquemot is the paper favourite — ranked #107, a roughly 210-point clay Elo advantage — but Tessa Johanna Brockmann arrives in form, winning 3 of their last 5 on clay to Elsa Jacquemot's 2.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 03:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Jacquemot E. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Surface form: Tessa Johanna Brockmann 3 of 5, Elsa Jacquemot 2 of 5 on clay recently — Tessa Johanna Brockmann the sharper of late.
- Fatigue load: Tessa Johanna Brockmann carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadJacquemot E.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.