Roberto Carballes Baena vs Marc Andrea HueslerZug Round of 32

Zug · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#177ATP
1632ELO
1612Clay ELO
$188kYTD
$6.3MCAREER
33 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 21 July 2026 ·
clay
REDCOMET ARENA · 5th on
#297ATP
1504ELO
1480Clay ELO
30 yrs · 196 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLLWW
Carballes Baena R.
3-6 6-7
Andrea Huesler M.
Carballes Baena R.
3660
Andrea Huesler M.
6782

Marc Andrea Huesler defeated Roberto Carballes Baena in the Round of 32 of the Zug tournament on clay, winning 6-3, 7-6. Huesler served 8 aces to Carballes Baena's 2 and converted 50% of his break points, compared to Carballes Baena's 33%. Huesler won 2 service breaks to Carballes Baena's 1.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.3
8.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
41
23
Break points saved·Slight edge
79
86
Break points won·Dominant
44
71
Deciding sets·Dominant
63
1
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
35
13

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Carballes Baena R.70%
Andrea Huesler M.30%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Carballes Baena R. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.7+132 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.3Clay Elo 1480
6.6Overall Elo 1632
ELO gap
3.4Overall Elo 1504
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.56 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.75 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
84
81

Carballes Baena R.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Andrea Huesler M.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
20°CPartly cloudy
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 38%

Draw