Arantxa Rus vs Elina AvanesyanHamburg Round of 32

Hamburg · WTA · Round of 32
#204WTA
1511ELO
1500Clay ELO
35 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 21 July 2026 ·
clay
M1 · 4th on
#159WTA
1694ELO
1666Clay ELO
23 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWWW
Rus A.
2-6 1-6
Avanesyan E.
Rus A.
210
Avanesyan E.
662

Elina Avanesyan defeated Arantxa Rus in the Round of 32 at the Hamburg clay court tournament. Avanesyan won the match 6-2, 6-1. Avanesyan converted 75% of her break points and won six service breaks to Rus' one.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-08-14W60 San Bartolome de TirajanaSFclayArantxa Rus6-1 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
75%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
57%
57%
2nd serve points won·Even
41%
40%
Service points won·Even
53%
52%
Return points won·Even
46%
50%
Break points saved·Even
52%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.2
0.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.7
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 39). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
0
55
Break points saved·Even
10
8
Break points won·Dominant
27
94
Deciding sets·Dominant
3
92
Tiebreaks·
0

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Rus A.23%
Avanesyan E.77%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Avanesyan E. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
2.9Clay Elo 1500
Surface ELO
7.1+166 Clay Elo edge
2.7Overall Elo 1511
ELO gap
7.3Overall Elo 1694
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.46 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.27 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
93
100

Rus A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Avanesyan E.: 16 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
22°CClear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 41%

Draw