Arantxa Rus vs Elina Avanesyan — Hamburg Round of 32
Rus A.Arantxa Rus faces Elina Avanesyan in the Hamburg round of 32 on clay. Arantxa Rus holds the paper edge — ranked #187. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Avanesyan E. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Arantxa Rus 76 games in 14 days, Elina Avanesyan 130.
- Under pressure: Elina Avanesyan has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 54 vs Arantxa Rus's 0).
- Last match: Arantxa Rus dropped the opening set before beating Chloe Paquet 1–6 6–4 6–4.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadRus A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 76 games (7d) · Avanesyan E.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 82 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.