Francesca Jones vs Darya Astakhova — Palermo Round of 32
GBR1
Jones F.
Francesca Jones defeated Darya Astakhova in the Round of 32 of the Palermo tournament on clay, winning 6-3, 6-2. Jones converted 67% of her break points and secured four service breaks, while Astakhova converted 50% of her break points and secured one service break. Jones also had a higher first-serve win percentage, at 71%, compared to Astakhova's 58%.
Around the match
“I love Italy, it's like a home — here the food is good and people live tennis with great passion. Yesterday it was important to rest and today I'm happy to have closed the match in two sets.”
Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.
Key context
- Match story: Francesca Jones dropped just 5 games past Darya Astakhova.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Jones F. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadJones F.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 96 games (7d) · Astakhova D.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About