Tyler Zink vs Zhizhen Zhang — Winnipeg Round of 32
Winnipeg · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
—
Sets
Monday, 20 July 2026 ·
hard
CHN3#156ATP
1682ELO
1642Hard ELO
$546kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
29 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWWWWWLW
Zink T.vs
Zhang Z.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 03:50 UTCZink T.32%
Zhang Z.68%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Zhang Z. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
1.4Hard Elo 1351
Surface ELO8.6+291 Hard Elo edge
1.1Overall Elo 1371
ELO gap8.9Overall Elo 1682
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
4.55 of last 10 on hard
Surface form3.75 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set countContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
29 vs 25 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
59%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
49%
Service points won·Even
64%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
34%
Break points saved·Even
65%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.3
7.8
Double faults / match·Even
1.5
1.7
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonServe-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Conditions
Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
23°COvercast
Wind 22 km/hHumidity 75%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.