Joel Schwaerzler vs Jurij RodionovKitzbuhel Round of 32

Kitzbuhel · ATP · Round of 32
#171ATP
1577ELO
1537Clay ELO
$102kYTD
$301kCAREER
20 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWLWL
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 20 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 3rd on
#143ATP
1636ELO
1586Clay ELO
$206kYTD
$1.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 191 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLLWLWWW
Schwaerzler J.
4-6 2-6
Rodionov J.
Schwaerzler J.
420
Rodionov J.
662

Jurij Rodionov defeated Joel Schwaerzler 6-4, 6-2 in the Round of 32 at Kitzbuhel. Rodionov hit 4 aces and 2 double faults, winning 81% of his first serves and converting 75% of break points. He won 3 service breaks to Schwaerzler's 0.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
53%
Service points won·Even
64%
64%
Return points won·Even
36%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
67%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.4
5.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.2
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
55
1
Break points saved·Clear edge
89
77
Break points won·Even
4
3
Deciding sets·Dominant
83
18
Tiebreaks·Dominant
77
5

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Schwaerzler J.47%
Rodionov J.53%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.4Clay Elo 1537
Surface ELO
5.6+49 Clay Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1577
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1636
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
2.33 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.45 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 6
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
91
70

Schwaerzler J.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Rodionov J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 71 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
21°CMainly clear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 53%

Draw