Zsombor Piros vs Stefano Napolitano — Zug Round of 32
HUN1
Piros Z.
Zsombor Piros faces Stefano Napolitano in the Zug round of 32 on clay. Zsombor Piros is the paper favourite — ranked #120, a roughly 100-point clay Elo advantage — but Stefano Napolitano has won their only previous meeting, though none on clay.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Piros Z. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Zsombor Piros comes in with 7 days of rest and 127 games in 14d, vs Stefano Napolitano's 2 and 78.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Zsombor Piros has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 56 vs 33).
- Win streak: Zsombor Piros arrives on a 10-match winning run.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadPiros Z.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d) · Napolitano S.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 78 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-01 | Wimbledon | Q1 | grass | Stefano Napolitano | 1-6 6-2 7-6 |