Aidan Mayo vs Alan MagadanBloomfield Hills Qualifying Final

Bloomfield Hills · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final
#616ATP
1380ELO
1359Hard ELO
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWLWWLW
1 — 2
Sets
Monday, 20 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 3 · 1st on
#561ATP
1274ELO
1275Hard ELO
25 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWLWW
Mayo A.
6-7 6-3 6-7
Magadan A.
Mayo A.
636641
Magadan A.
773772

Alan Magadan won the Bloomfield Hills final, defeating Aidan Mayo 7-6, 3-6, 7-6. Magadan hit 5 aces and 1 double fault, while Mayo hit 14 aces and 9 double faults. Magadan converted 38% of break points and won 3 service breaks, compared to Mayo's 44% conversion rate and 4 service breaks.

Key context

  • Match story: Alan Magadan closed it out in three sets, 7–6 3–6 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
57%
53%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
59%
Return points won·Even
41%
39%
Break points saved·Even
60%
57%
Aces / match·Even
4.2
4.5
Double faults / match·Even
4.2
4.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 11). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Mayo A.78%
Magadan A.22%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Mayo A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.0+84 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Hard Elo 1275
6.3Overall Elo 1380
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1274
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.85 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.43 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
82
65

Mayo A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Magadan A.: 4 days rest · 4 matches, 101 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 60%

Draw