Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Zdenek KolarZug Round of 32

Zug · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#284ATP
1532ELO
1516Clay ELO
26 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWWWWWW
Sets
Monday, 20 July 2026 ·
clay
JEGO COURT 1 · 3rd on
#153ATP
1506ELO
1485Clay ELO
$124kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLLWWLLL
Seyboth Wild T.
vs
Kolar Z.

Thiago Seyboth Wild faces Zdenek Kolar in the Zug round of 32 on clay. Zdenek Kolar is the paper favourite — ranked #153 — but Thiago Seyboth Wild arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 9 on clay to Zdenek Kolar's 3.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Seyboth Wild T.59%
Kolar Z.41%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Seyboth Wild T. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4+31 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Clay Elo 1485
5.3Overall Elo 1532
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1506
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
7.28 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.84 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

19 vs 33 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
64%
61%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Clear edge
67%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.8
2.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.6
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Seyboth Wild T.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Kolar Z.

Kolar Z.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Seyboth Wild T.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
16
26
Break points saved·Dominant
87
53
Break points won·Slight edge
18
28
Deciding sets·Dominant
33
58
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
2
8

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
68
84

Seyboth Wild T.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 60 games (7d) · Kolar Z.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
22°CMainly clear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 48%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw