Laura Samson vs Maya JointLivesport Prague Open Round of 32

Livesport Prague Open · WTA · Round of 32
#154WTA
1690ELO
1545Hard ELO
18 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLWWWLLW
Sets
Monday, 20 July 2026 ·
hard
#77WTA
1659ELO
1657Hard ELO
$391kYTD
$1.7MCAREER
20 yrs · 167 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLLWLWLL
Samson L.
vs
Joint M.

Laura Samson faces Maya Joint in the Livesport Prague Open round of 32 on hard. Maya Joint holds the paper edge — ranked #77, a roughly 110-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Samson L.50%
Joint M.50%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.6Hard Elo 1545
Surface ELO
6.4+112 Hard Elo edge
5.4Overall Elo 1690
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1659
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.56 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
1.62 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

22 vs 10 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
58%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
53%
Return points won·Even
44%
41%
Break points saved·Even
57%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.9
1.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.5
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Samson L.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Joint M.

Joint M.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Samson L.

Serve advantage — Samson L.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
76
100

Samson L.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 51 games (7d) · Joint M.: 16 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw