Lukas Neumayer vs Yannick HanfmannKitzbuhel Round of 32

Kitzbuhel · ATP · Round of 32
#162ATP
1621ELO
1598Clay ELO
$136kYTD
$576kCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLWWLLLW
Sets
Monday, 20 July 2026 ·
clay
#51ATP
1781ELO
1741Clay ELO
$608kYTD
$4.5MCAREER
34 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWLWLWLW
Neumayer L.
vs
Hanfmann Y.

Lukas Neumayer faces Yannick Hanfmann in the Kitzbuhel round of 32 on clay. Yannick Hanfmann holds the paper edge — ranked #51, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 140-point clay Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Neumayer L.31%
Hanfmann Y.69%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Hanfmann Y. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.2Clay Elo 1598
Surface ELO
6.8+143 Clay Elo edge
3.0Overall Elo 1621
ELO gap
7.0Overall Elo 1781
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
4.45 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.74 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

30 vs 20 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
54%
Service points won·Even
62%
66%
Return points won·Even
41%
37%
Break points saved·Even
61%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.7
7.5
Double faults / match·Even
2.0
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Neumayer L.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Hanfmann Y.

Hanfmann Y.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Neumayer L.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
40
39
Break points saved·Clear edge
71
88
Break points won·Dominant
62
4
Deciding sets·Dominant
11
96
Tiebreaks·Dominant
86
2

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
69
77

Neumayer L.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 77 games (7d) · Hanfmann Y.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
18°COvercast
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 74%

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-21KitzbuhelR32clayYannick Hanfmann7-5 6-2

Draw