Yi Zhou vs Michael Geerts — Segovia Round of 32
Segovia · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
—
Sets
Monday, 20 July 2026 ·
hard
PISTA 2 · 3rd on
Zhou Y.vs
Geerts M.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTCZhou Y.68%
Geerts M.32%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Zhou Y. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
5.8+62 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO4.2Hard Elo 1383
5.7Overall Elo 1456
ELO gap4.3Overall Elo 1400
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
4.04 of last 10 on hard
Surface form4.65 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set countSurface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
19 vs 19 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
54%
Service points won·Even
63%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
35%
Break points saved·Even
63%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.0
5.2
Double faults / match·Even
2.5
2.5
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonServe-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Conditions
Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
33°CMainly clear
Wind 23 km/hHumidity 11%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.